Key Points
- Growth Sectors Weaken Further
- Communication Services Breaks a Key Level
- Cyclical Remain Mixed on a Relative Basis
- Sellers Finally Find the Energy Sector
- But For Real Estate, Defensive Sectors are Outperforming
Visiting the Sector Relatives
Information Technology
Last week we noted that the bears are in control of the Technology sector as price is below 2,500. They have not wasted their top position, driving the index further below the declining 50 and 200-day moving averages. Odds favor a move toward the pre-COVID highs.
Relative to the S&P 500
Consumer Discretionary
After rebounding from support at the pre-COVID highs, the Discretionary sector has moved back to those levels again. The index is well below the declining 50 and 200-day moving averages, keeping the bears in control of the trend until a more stable base develops.
Relative to the S&P 500
Communication Services
Communication Services stocks have broken support at the pre-COVID highs, cascading further below the declining 50 and 200-day moving averages. The bears are in control, a dynamic that we have been highlighting for weeks.
Relative to the S&P 500
Materials
The Materials sector is breaking support at the lower end of the consolidation zone and trades below the 50 and 200-day moving averages. The bears are taking control of this formerly neutral sector.
Relative to the S&P 500
On a relative basis, Materials are an outperformer, trading above the rising 50-day moving average. The ratio is now facing resistance at the May 2021 peak.
Financials
Financials are testing support at the pre-COVID highs. The group is below the declining 50 and 200-day moving averages, keeping the bias to the downside for now.
Relative to the S&P 500
Industrials
Industrials remain in a consolidation zone below the 50 and 200-day moving averages. Resistance is near 830 (lines up with the 50-day moving average), and support comes into play near the pre-COVID highs.
Relative to the S&P 500
Energy
After evading them for months, the sellers found the Energy sector yesterday. Interestingly, they did not do much damage to the bullish trend. The index is still above the rising 50 and 200-day moving averages and has yet to make a lower low.
Relative to the S&P 500
Consumer Staples
Staples failed at the 200-day moving average, below the 50-day moving average, and are heading lower again. The group has room for a support zone between 665 and 695.
Relative to the S&P 500
Utilities
Utilities have broken support at the pre-COVID highs and are now below the 50 and 200-day moving averages. At best, we can say that the trend is now neutral.
Relative to the S&P 500
Health Care
In the Health Care sector, the bears took full advantage of the edge that we gave them last week, pushing the index through support below the 50 and 200-day moving averages.
Relative to the S&P 500
Real Estate
Real Estate has seen the bears act with authority as they gap the index through support at the pre-COVID peak below the 50 and 200-day moving averages.
Relative to the S&P 500
Take-Aways
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